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Morning Briefing for pub, restaurant and food wervice operators

Thu 16th Feb 2017 - Pub and restaurant like-for-likes increase 1.9% in January, casual dining chains see biggest jump of 3.3%
Pub and restaurant like-for-likes increase 1.9% in January, casual dining chains see biggest jump of 3.3%: Britain’s managed pub and restaurant sector saw collective like-for-like sales grow 1.9% in January compared with last year, according to the latest Coffer Peach Business Tracker – with casual dining chains seeing the biggest jump in trade. Restaurant groups in the Coffer Peach cohort were collectively 3.3% up on last January, on a like-for-like basis, while pub group sales were ahead a more modest 1.0% across the board. “After a busy Christmas and New Year period, when sector like-for-likes were up a healthy 2.2% on 2015, many expected January to be more muted – but consumers seem to have continued to go out to eat and drink, and in particular eat,” said Peter Martin, vice-president of CGA Peach, the business insight consultancy that produces the Tracker, in partnership with Coffer Group and RSM. “Part of the rise can be put down to a prolonged New Year break, and results have also been uneven. Although the majority of the operators in the survey saw a rise in sales, that was not universal,” he added. Trading in London was strongest, with like-for-likes inside the M25 up 2.2%, against a 1.6% uplift in the rest of the country. Restaurant groups within the capital saw a 3.8% like-for-like increase. “It also has to be remembered that January is always a weak trading month, so swings at this time of the year will not overly affect business fortunes, but with latest figures showing inflation running at 1.8%, this is a level of the growth the market will need to maintain,” Martin added. The other feature of last month was the continuing participation of some of the public in Dry January. CGA’s separate research published earlier this week showed Dry January – now in its fifth official year – is maintaining momentum. CGA chief executive Phil Tate said: “One-in-five consumers now take part in the annual detox, with 28% of 18 to 34-year-olds choosing to abstain, although only 14% of over-55s take part. But it’s also worth noting our survey shows the nation’s resolve weakened as the month progressed.” Total sales growth in January among the 34 companies in the Tracker cohort was up 4.4%, reflecting the impact of new openings. However, the underlying annual sales trend shows sector like-for-likes running at just 0.8% ahead for the 12 months to the end of January, essentially in line with most of last year. Trevor Watson, executive director, valuations at Davis Coffer Lyons, said: “Consumer confidence is proving to be resilient in spite of a background of accelerating inflation. The next few months will see significant cost pressures for operators in the pub and restaurant sectors, not least the new rates assessments. Operators are likely to look to pass these costs on through higher menu prices. Some brands and businesses will be better placed than others to do so.” Paul Newman, head of leisure and hospitality at RSM UK, added: “The phenomenon of Dry January has been a ubiquitous feature of a usually slower trading month so these results offer cause for optimism, albeit with a dose of realism. Besides exchange rates and rising transport costs, unusually cold weather in Europe is pushing up fruit and salad prices in particular. Operators will need to see sustained levels of sales growth continue in the months ahead just to stand still.”

Beer competition reports craft keg boom: A national craft beer competition has reported a record 400 entries, a 700% increase since 2011, with a particular boom in craft keg beers. The Independent Beer Awards are hosted by the Society of Independent Brewers (SIBA) and will take place next month at the BeerAlive! beer festival, part of SIBA’s annual BeerX Trade Show in Sheffield. SIBA managing director Mike Benner said the boom in craft keg beer showed the dexterity of Britain’s independent brewers, which are now producing quality beer in various styles and formats. He added: “We’ve seen a huge growth in the number of independent craft brewers producing quality beer in a range of formats, including the increasingly popular craft keg. Certain beers lend themselves to being served in this way and, while cask will always be important for our members, it’s great to see breweries embracing quality keg beer and producing fantastic-tasting, unpasteurised beers that are served chilled, direct from regular keg fonts.” The production of craft beer in keg is relatively new in the UK, with SIBA’s competition launching in 2011 with only 50 beers put forward nationally. By 2014, that number had risen to 208 across the UK and to 238 in 2015.

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